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Venkateshwaran Ramadoss

All part of the analysis game

Date : 09/09/2009 Author: Venkateshwaran Ramadoss

I am not trying to enact a Kahneman with this post, but I am trying to wonder, from what I do, see and hear, our susceptibility as analysts to errors driven by behavioral tenets. I have often been pointed out on my susceptibility to such follies and promptly guided out by my superiors, although it might not have happened all the time. Though no proud a claim it is, I have instances to console myself that they are prevalent in the market place and analysts, either amateur or seasoned, are equally susceptible for this part of the analysis game.

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Rally(ies) again

Date : 28/07/2009 Author: Venkateshwaran Ramadoss

The current rally, baptized as “better–than–expected” rally; after the better than expected earnings season, is generating a good lot of optimism all around. All the bearish questions on the sustainability of the “green shoots” rally could pull the DJI down only by 7% from the highs of the previous rally and the downturn lasted merely for a month.  All asset and commodity prices are being forecasted upwards and analysts could come out with revisions in the full year earnings forecasts.

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Wizards, spells and equity markets

Date : 24/06/2009 Author: Venkateshwaran Ramadoss

I wonder how much time and effort the likes of Shakespeare would have needed to popularize their literary phrases compared to the time taken for the phrase “Green Shoots”, coined by Ben Bernanke. We all know that Economist publishes a monthly bar chart indicating the number of  times the word was used in the media. I marvel at the sheer power and ability of such people to make the market jump like a puppy for a cookie, in a hope for a cookie rather.

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